Correlation between 538's urbanization index and vote margin 2020?
Nov 9, 2020 · 3 538 did an article about the urban-rural divide. It said that in 2016, the correlation between urbanization and Dem voting was 0.69 in 2016 and 0.55 in 2012. (There was one big …
In the 538 Election Forecast, what is the difference between States ...
Aug 18, 2020 · In 538's Election Forecast, states are highlighted as either having "the closest races" or being "close to the tipping point". What is the difference between these two categories?
united states - Why do election predictions by FiveThirtyEight and ...
538 pays a lot of attention to the quality, decay, and noise from polling data. Silver uses Pollster rankings, trend line adjustments, and poll sample adjustments to enhance the performance of a run …
Why was the Economist model so sure Trump was going to lose …
Oct 26, 2020 · The 538 model says "Very large swings have occurred, if you look back to (for example) Truman v. Dewey. And sometimes something might happen that will completely change the course …
united states - Why were there only 531 electoral votes in the US ...
Nov 26, 2020 · I just read this Wikipedia article. It says Trump won with a 304 to 227 for electoral votes. That's 304 + 227 = 531 votes. But the total number should be 538. Where did the 7 votes go?
What determines the number of electors in each state of the US
Nov 6, 2020 · 7 Mostly the (Decennial) Census Generally, the electoral formula is Electoral Votes = Representatives + Senators. Each state has two Senators, so that's 100 of the 538 total Electoral …
Can the US president legally kill at will? - Politics Stack Exchange
Jul 3, 2024 · Obama started killing Americans with Predator drones more than 15 years ago, and nobody has dared to prosecute him. So it is already stablished that POTUS can kill Americans at will. …
united states - Why are political donations public? - Politics Stack ...
Oct 21, 2024 · All political donations over $200 are public in the United States. Why is this? $200 does not seem like enough to place a political candidate significantly in debt to an individual donor. It …
What happens if no candidate reaches 270 electoral votes?
Oct 12, 2016 · Both Rathony's answer and Brythan's are entirely correct about the authoritative, legal answers as to what would happen if neither candidate received 270 electoral votes. This …
Are there more Democrats than Republicans in the United States?
Aug 3, 2020 · It really depends on how you define 'members', but both early registration totals and opinion polling suggest that there are significantly more Democrats than Republicans. For example, …